Envela Corp Stock Price Prediction
| ELA Stock | USD 6.50 0.01 0.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.23 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.355 | Wall Street Target Price 8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.272 |
Using Envela Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Envela Corp from the perspective of Envela Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Envela Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Envela because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Envela Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 6.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Envela |
Envela Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Envela Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Envela Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Envela Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Envela Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Envela Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Envela Corp's historical news coverage. Envela Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.66 and 8.34, respectively. We have considered Envela Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Envela Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Envela Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Envela Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Envela Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Envela Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Envela Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.50 | 6.50 | 0.00 |
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Envela Corp Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November Envela Corp is traded for 6.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.16. Envela is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Envela Corp is about 424.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.66. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Envela Corp was currently reported as 1.97. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Envela Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Envela Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Envela Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Envela Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Envela Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Envela Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MOV | Movado Group | 0.73 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.03 | (3.21) | 18.47 | |
| MYTE | MYT Netherlands Parent | 0.85 | 6 per month | 2.64 | 0.15 | 11.11 | (5.59) | 67.36 | |
| LANV | Lanvin Group Holdings | (0.12) | 10 per month | 5.26 | 0.03 | 11.18 | (10.83) | 26.86 | |
| FOSL | Fossil Group | 0.07 | 10 per month | 3.81 | (0.01) | 8.55 | (6.31) | 19.38 | |
| BRLT | Brilliant Earth Group | 0.12 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.69 | (5.85) | 17.39 | |
| SIG | Signet Jewelers | 0.95 | 8 per month | 2.02 | 0.11 | 4.34 | (3.42) | 19.25 |
Envela Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Envela price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Envela using various technical indicators. When you analyze Envela charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Envela Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Envela Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Envela Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Envela Corp based on analysis of Envela Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Envela Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Envela Corp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 18.56 | 17.04 | 16.61 | 17.44 | PTB Ratio | 3.97 | 3.27 | 2.7 | 2.56 |
Story Coverage note for Envela Corp
The number of cover stories for Envela Corp depends on current market conditions and Envela Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Envela Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Envela Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Envela Corp Short Properties
Envela Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Envela Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Envela Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Envela Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Envela Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Envela Stock analysis
When running Envela Corp's price analysis, check to measure Envela Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Envela Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Envela Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Envela Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Envela Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Envela Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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