Epitomee Medical Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EPIT Stock   929.20  17.20  1.82%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Epitomee Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 989.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 107.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,533. Epitomee Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Epitomee Medical stock prices and determine the direction of Epitomee Medical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Epitomee Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Epitomee Medical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Epitomee Medical value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Epitomee Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Epitomee Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 989.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 107.10, mean absolute percentage error of 28,062, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,533.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Epitomee Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Epitomee Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Epitomee Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Epitomee MedicalEpitomee Medical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Epitomee Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Epitomee Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Epitomee Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 952.04 and 1,028, respectively. We have considered Epitomee Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
929.20
952.04
Downside
989.89
Expected Value
1,028
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Epitomee Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Epitomee Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.3527
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation107.0997
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1973
SAESum of the absolute errors6533.0832
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Epitomee Medical. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Epitomee Medical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Epitomee Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Epitomee Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
891.36929.20967.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
842.43880.271,022
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
808.29962.721,117
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Epitomee Medical

For every potential investor in Epitomee, whether a beginner or expert, Epitomee Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Epitomee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Epitomee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Epitomee Medical's price trends.

Epitomee Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Epitomee Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Epitomee Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Epitomee Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Epitomee Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Epitomee Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Epitomee Medical's current price.

Epitomee Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Epitomee Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Epitomee Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Epitomee Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Epitomee Medical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Epitomee Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Epitomee Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Epitomee Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting epitomee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Epitomee Stock

Epitomee Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Epitomee Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Epitomee with respect to the benefits of owning Epitomee Medical security.