Hatton National Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Hatton National is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hatton National Bank value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hatton National Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hatton National Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 231.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.48, mean absolute percentage error of 41.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 334.51.

Hatton National Stock Forecast Pattern

Hatton National Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hatton National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hatton National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hatton National Bank. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hatton National. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hatton National

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hatton National Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 228.10 230.00 231.90 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 187.39 189.29 253.00 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 207.01 222.53 238.04 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hatton National

For every potential investor in Hatton, whether a beginner or expert, Hatton National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hatton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hatton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hatton National's price trends.

Hatton National Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Hatton National Bank Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hatton National's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hatton National's current price.

Hatton National Market Strength Events

Hatton National Risk Indicators

Other Information on Investing in Hatton Stock