I2 Enterprise Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

I2 Stock   1.43  0.01  0.69%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of I2 Enterprise Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.19. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast I2 Enterprise's stock prices and determine the direction of I2 Enterprise Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of I2 Enterprise's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  
A naive forecasting model for I2 Enterprise is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of I2 Enterprise Public value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

I2 Enterprise Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of I2 Enterprise Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict I2 Enterprise Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that I2 Enterprise's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

I2 Enterprise Stock Forecast Pattern

I2 Enterprise Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting I2 Enterprise's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. I2 Enterprise's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.64, respectively. We have considered I2 Enterprise's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.43
1.36
Expected Value
4.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of I2 Enterprise stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent I2 Enterprise stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7046
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0522
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0309
SAESum of the absolute errors3.1857
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of I2 Enterprise Public. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict I2 Enterprise. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for I2 Enterprise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as I2 Enterprise Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as I2 Enterprise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against I2 Enterprise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, I2 Enterprise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in I2 Enterprise Public.

Other Forecasting Options for I2 Enterprise

For every potential investor in I2 Enterprise, whether a beginner or expert, I2 Enterprise's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. I2 Enterprise Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in I2 Enterprise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying I2 Enterprise's price trends.

I2 Enterprise Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with I2 Enterprise stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of I2 Enterprise could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing I2 Enterprise by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

I2 Enterprise Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of I2 Enterprise's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of I2 Enterprise's current price.

I2 Enterprise Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how I2 Enterprise stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading I2 Enterprise shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying I2 Enterprise stock market strength indicators, traders can identify I2 Enterprise Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

I2 Enterprise Risk Indicators

The analysis of I2 Enterprise's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in I2 Enterprise's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting i2 enterprise stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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