Kura Sushi Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KRUS Stock  USD 103.69  8.15  8.53%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kura Sushi USA on the next trading day is expected to be 101.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 226.48. Kura Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Kura Sushi's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 54.36 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 14.40 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 9.6 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (722 K) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Kura Sushi's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-08-31
Previous Quarter
59.4 M
Current Value
51 M
Quarterly Volatility
23.6 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Kura Sushi is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kura Sushi USA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kura Sushi Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kura Sushi USA on the next trading day is expected to be 101.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.71, mean absolute percentage error of 21.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 226.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kura Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kura Sushi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kura Sushi Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kura Sushi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kura Sushi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kura Sushi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 97.36 and 105.25, respectively. We have considered Kura Sushi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
103.69
101.31
Expected Value
105.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kura Sushi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kura Sushi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.1775
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.7128
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0456
SAESum of the absolute errors226.4836
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kura Sushi USA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kura Sushi. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kura Sushi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kura Sushi USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kura Sushi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.45103.39107.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.21106.15110.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
81.2192.67104.13
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
86.5895.14105.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kura Sushi

For every potential investor in Kura, whether a beginner or expert, Kura Sushi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kura Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kura. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kura Sushi's price trends.

Kura Sushi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kura Sushi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kura Sushi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kura Sushi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kura Sushi USA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kura Sushi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kura Sushi's current price.

Kura Sushi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kura Sushi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kura Sushi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kura Sushi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kura Sushi USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kura Sushi Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kura Sushi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kura Sushi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kura stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Kura Stock Analysis

When running Kura Sushi's price analysis, check to measure Kura Sushi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kura Sushi is operating at the current time. Most of Kura Sushi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kura Sushi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kura Sushi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kura Sushi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.