NetApp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NTA Stock  EUR 118.90  3.54  2.89%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NetApp Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 115.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 128.05. NetApp Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NetApp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for NetApp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NetApp Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NetApp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NetApp Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 115.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10, mean absolute percentage error of 6.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 128.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NetApp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NetApp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NetApp Stock Forecast Pattern

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NetApp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NetApp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NetApp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.47 and 117.52, respectively. We have considered NetApp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
118.90
113.47
Downside
115.49
Expected Value
117.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NetApp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NetApp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.0189
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0991
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors128.0465
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NetApp Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NetApp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NetApp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetApp Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.87118.90120.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.7192.74130.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
104.45113.91123.37
Details

Other Forecasting Options for NetApp

For every potential investor in NetApp, whether a beginner or expert, NetApp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NetApp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NetApp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NetApp's price trends.

NetApp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NetApp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NetApp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NetApp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NetApp Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NetApp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NetApp's current price.

NetApp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NetApp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NetApp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NetApp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NetApp Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NetApp Risk Indicators

The analysis of NetApp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NetApp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting netapp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NetApp Stock

When determining whether NetApp Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if NetApp Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Netapp Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Netapp Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NetApp to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NetApp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NetApp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NetApp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.