Bank of NT Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NTB Stock  USD 38.28  0.78  2.08%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bank of NT on the next trading day is expected to be 38.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.54. Bank Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Bank of NT stock prices and determine the direction of Bank of NT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bank of NT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of November 22, 2024, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 0. In addition to that, Receivables Turnover is expected to decline to 2.78. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 258.4 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 41 M.

Bank of NT Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Bank of NT's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-06-30
Previous Quarter
2.4 B
Current Value
2.1 B
Quarterly Volatility
987.1 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Bank of NT is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bank of NT value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bank of NT Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bank of NT on the next trading day is expected to be 38.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank of NT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bank of NT Stock Forecast Pattern

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Bank of NT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bank of NT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank of NT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.60 and 39.85, respectively. We have considered Bank of NT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.28
38.22
Expected Value
39.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank of NT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank of NT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3217
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5732
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0154
SAESum of the absolute errors35.5411
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bank of NT. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bank of NT. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bank of NT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of NT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank of NT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.6738.2939.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.0036.6242.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.4537.8039.14
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.2135.4039.29
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bank of NT

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank of NT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank of NT's price trends.

Bank of NT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank of NT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank of NT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank of NT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bank of NT Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bank of NT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bank of NT's current price.

Bank of NT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank of NT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank of NT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank of NT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank of NT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bank of NT Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bank of NT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank of NT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Bank of NT offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bank of NT's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bank Of Nt Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bank Of Nt Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank of NT to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Bank Stock refer to our How to Trade Bank Stock guide.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank of NT. If investors know Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank of NT listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.232
Dividend Share
1.76
Earnings Share
4.5
Revenue Per Share
12.444
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.069
The market value of Bank of NT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank of NT's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank of NT's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank of NT's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank of NT's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank of NT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank of NT is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank of NT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.