Oneconnect Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

OCFT Stock  USD 2.31  0.09  4.05%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oneconnect Financial Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 1.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.16. Oneconnect Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Oneconnect Financial's Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 4.99 in 2024, despite the fact that Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (4.48). . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 1.1 B in 2024, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (824.3 M) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Oneconnect Financial's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.4 B
Current Value
1.6 B
Quarterly Volatility
683.9 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Oneconnect Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Oneconnect Financial Technology value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Oneconnect Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oneconnect Financial Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 1.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oneconnect Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oneconnect Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oneconnect Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

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Oneconnect Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oneconnect Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oneconnect Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 14.27, respectively. We have considered Oneconnect Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.31
1.96
Expected Value
14.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oneconnect Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oneconnect Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2355
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2649
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1313
SAESum of the absolute errors16.1567
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Oneconnect Financial Technology. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Oneconnect Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Oneconnect Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oneconnect Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.2214.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.5314.83
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.654.014.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oneconnect Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oneconnect Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oneconnect Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oneconnect Financial.

Other Forecasting Options for Oneconnect Financial

For every potential investor in Oneconnect, whether a beginner or expert, Oneconnect Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oneconnect Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oneconnect. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oneconnect Financial's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oneconnect Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oneconnect Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oneconnect Financial's current price.

Oneconnect Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oneconnect Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oneconnect Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oneconnect Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oneconnect Financial Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oneconnect Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oneconnect Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oneconnect Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oneconnect stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Oneconnect Stock Analysis

When running Oneconnect Financial's price analysis, check to measure Oneconnect Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oneconnect Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Oneconnect Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oneconnect Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oneconnect Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oneconnect Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.