Sivers IMA Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SIVE Stock  SEK 2.42  0.14  5.47%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sivers IMA Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.24. Sivers Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Sivers IMA is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sivers IMA Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sivers IMA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sivers IMA Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sivers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sivers IMA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sivers IMA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sivers IMASivers IMA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sivers IMA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sivers IMA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sivers IMA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 10.06, respectively. We have considered Sivers IMA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.42
3.09
Expected Value
10.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sivers IMA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sivers IMA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5944
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2334
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.074
SAESum of the absolute errors14.2391
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sivers IMA Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sivers IMA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sivers IMA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sivers IMA Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.569.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.489.43
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sivers IMA

For every potential investor in Sivers, whether a beginner or expert, Sivers IMA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sivers Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sivers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sivers IMA's price trends.

Sivers IMA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sivers IMA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sivers IMA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sivers IMA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sivers IMA Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sivers IMA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sivers IMA's current price.

Sivers IMA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sivers IMA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sivers IMA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sivers IMA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sivers IMA Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sivers IMA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sivers IMA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sivers IMA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sivers stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Sivers Stock Analysis

When running Sivers IMA's price analysis, check to measure Sivers IMA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sivers IMA is operating at the current time. Most of Sivers IMA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sivers IMA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sivers IMA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sivers IMA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.