Worthington Steel Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WS Stock   34.62  0.83  2.34%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Worthington Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 33.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.68. Worthington Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Worthington Steel's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Worthington Steel's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Worthington Steel and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Worthington Steel's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Worthington Steel, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Worthington Steel's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.48
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.465
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.03
Wall Street Target Price
41
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.39
Using Worthington Steel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Worthington Steel from the perspective of Worthington Steel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Worthington Steel using Worthington Steel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Worthington using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Worthington Steel's stock price.

Worthington Steel Short Interest

An investor who is long Worthington Steel may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Worthington Steel and may potentially protect profits, hedge Worthington Steel with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
29.9934
Short Percent
0.0417
Short Ratio
5.62
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
33.4046

Worthington Steel Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Worthington Steel's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Worthington. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Worthington can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Worthington Steel. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Worthington Steel's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Worthington Steel.

Worthington Steel Implied Volatility

    
  1.4  
Worthington Steel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Worthington Steel stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Worthington Steel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Worthington Steel stock will not fluctuate a lot when Worthington Steel's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Worthington Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 33.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.68.

Worthington Steel after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 34.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Worthington Steel to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Worthington Stock please use our How to Invest in Worthington Steel guide.At this time, Worthington Steel's Fixed Asset Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 1.97 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 5.14 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 112.6 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 39.9 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Worthington Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Worthington Steel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Worthington Steel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Worthington Steel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Worthington Steel's open interest, investors have to compare it to Worthington Steel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Worthington Steel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Worthington. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Worthington Steel Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Worthington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Worthington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Worthington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Worthington Steel's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
43.7 M
Current Value
32.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
9.6 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Worthington Steel is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Worthington Steel value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Worthington Steel Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Worthington Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 33.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Worthington Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Worthington Steel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Worthington Steel Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Worthington SteelWorthington Steel Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Worthington Steel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Worthington Steel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Worthington Steel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.29 and 35.15, respectively. We have considered Worthington Steel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.62
33.22
Expected Value
35.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Worthington Steel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Worthington Steel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3837
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5193
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.016
SAESum of the absolute errors31.6767
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Worthington Steel. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Worthington Steel. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Worthington Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Worthington Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Worthington Steel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.8034.7336.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1638.7140.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.0635.0037.94
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.3141.0045.51
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Worthington Steel

For every potential investor in Worthington, whether a beginner or expert, Worthington Steel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Worthington Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Worthington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Worthington Steel's price trends.

Worthington Steel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Worthington Steel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Worthington Steel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Worthington Steel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Worthington Steel Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Worthington Steel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Worthington Steel's current price.

Worthington Steel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Worthington Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Worthington Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Worthington Steel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Worthington Steel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Worthington Steel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Worthington Steel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Worthington Steel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting worthington stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Worthington Stock Analysis

When running Worthington Steel's price analysis, check to measure Worthington Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Worthington Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Worthington Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Worthington Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Worthington Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Worthington Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.