Correlation Between Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cincinnati Financial Corp and Discover Financial Services, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cincinnati Financial with a short position of Discover Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial

-0.58
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cincinnati and Discover is -0.58. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cincinnati Financial Corp and Discover Financial Services in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Discover Financial and Cincinnati Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cincinnati Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Discover Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Discover Financial has no effect on the direction of Cincinnati Financial i.e., Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cincinnati Financial Corp is expected to generate 1.08 times more return on investment than Discover Financial. However, Cincinnati Financial is 1.08 times more volatile than Discover Financial Services. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Discover Financial Services is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  13,981  in Cincinnati Financial Corp on November 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (128.00) from holding Cincinnati Financial Corp or give up 0.92% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cincinnati Financial Corp  vs.  Discover Financial Services

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cincinnati Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cincinnati Financial Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.
Discover Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Discover Financial Services are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Discover Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cincinnati Financial and Discover Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cincinnati Financial position performs unexpectedly, Discover Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Discover Financial will offset losses from the drop in Discover Financial's long position.
The idea behind Cincinnati Financial Corp and Discover Financial Services pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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