Correlation Between Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cincinnati Financial Corp and Halfords Group PLC, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cincinnati Financial with a short position of Halfords Group. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group.

Diversification Opportunities for Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group

-0.37
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cincinnati and Halfords is -0.37. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cincinnati Financial Corp and Halfords Group PLC in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Halfords Group PLC and Cincinnati Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cincinnati Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Halfords Group. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Halfords Group PLC has no effect on the direction of Cincinnati Financial i.e., Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cincinnati Financial Corp is expected to under-perform the Halfords Group. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Cincinnati Financial Corp is 2.84 times less risky than Halfords Group. The stock trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Halfords Group PLC is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  14,220  in Halfords Group PLC on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  540.00  from holding Halfords Group PLC or generate 3.8% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cincinnati Financial Corp  vs.  Halfords Group PLC

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cincinnati Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cincinnati Financial Corp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Halfords Group PLC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Halfords Group PLC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Halfords Group is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cincinnati Financial and Halfords Group positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cincinnati Financial position performs unexpectedly, Halfords Group can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Halfords Group will offset losses from the drop in Halfords Group's long position.
The idea behind Cincinnati Financial Corp and Halfords Group PLC pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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