Correlation Between Arbor Realty and MFA Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Arbor Realty and MFA Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Arbor Realty and MFA Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Arbor Realty Trust and MFA Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Arbor Realty and MFA Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Arbor Realty with a short position of MFA Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Arbor Realty and MFA Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Arbor Realty and MFA Financial

0.68
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Arbor and MFA is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Arbor Realty Trust and MFA Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MFA Financial and Arbor Realty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Arbor Realty Trust are associated (or correlated) with MFA Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MFA Financial has no effect on the direction of Arbor Realty i.e., Arbor Realty and MFA Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Arbor Realty and MFA Financial

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arbor Realty is expected to generate 1.61 times less return on investment than MFA Financial. In addition to that, Arbor Realty is 1.24 times more volatile than MFA Financial. It trades about 0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. MFA Financial is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,568  in MFA Financial on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  650.00  from holding MFA Financial or generate 41.45% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Arbor Realty Trust  vs.  MFA Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Arbor Realty Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Arbor Realty Trust are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Arbor Realty may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
MFA Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MFA Financial are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, MFA Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Arbor Realty and MFA Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Arbor Realty and MFA Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Arbor Realty and MFA Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Arbor Realty position performs unexpectedly, MFA Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MFA Financial will offset losses from the drop in MFA Financial's long position.
The idea behind Arbor Realty Trust and MFA Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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