Correlation Between American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Eagle Outfitters and TFS FINANCIAL, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Eagle with a short position of TFS FINANCIAL. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL.

Diversification Opportunities for American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL

-0.66
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and TFS is -0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Eagle Outfitters and TFS FINANCIAL in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on TFS FINANCIAL and American Eagle is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Eagle Outfitters are associated (or correlated) with TFS FINANCIAL. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of TFS FINANCIAL has no effect on the direction of American Eagle i.e., American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Eagle Outfitters is expected to under-perform the TFS FINANCIAL. In addition to that, American Eagle is 1.58 times more volatile than TFS FINANCIAL. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. TFS FINANCIAL is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,204  in TFS FINANCIAL on September 21, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6.00  from holding TFS FINANCIAL or generate 0.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Eagle Outfitters  vs.  TFS FINANCIAL

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Eagle Outfitters 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days American Eagle Outfitters has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest uncertain performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.
TFS FINANCIAL 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TFS FINANCIAL are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather fragile basic indicators, TFS FINANCIAL may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Eagle and TFS FINANCIAL positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Eagle position performs unexpectedly, TFS FINANCIAL can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in TFS FINANCIAL will offset losses from the drop in TFS FINANCIAL's long position.
The idea behind American Eagle Outfitters and TFS FINANCIAL pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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