Correlation Between AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between AmTrust Financial Services and Selective Insurance Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in AmTrust Financial with a short position of Selective Insurance. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance.

Diversification Opportunities for AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance

0.29
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between AmTrust and Selective is 0.29. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AmTrust Financial Services and Selective Insurance Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Selective Insurance and AmTrust Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on AmTrust Financial Services are associated (or correlated) with Selective Insurance. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Selective Insurance has no effect on the direction of AmTrust Financial i.e., AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance

Assuming the 90 days horizon AmTrust Financial Services is expected to generate 1.35 times more return on investment than Selective Insurance. However, AmTrust Financial is 1.35 times more volatile than Selective Insurance Group. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Selective Insurance Group is currently generating about -0.22 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,350  in AmTrust Financial Services on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  25.00  from holding AmTrust Financial Services or generate 1.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

AmTrust Financial Services  vs.  Selective Insurance Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
AmTrust Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AmTrust Financial Services are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak forward indicators, AmTrust Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Selective Insurance 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Selective Insurance Group are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable forward indicators, Selective Insurance is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance

The main advantage of trading using opposite AmTrust Financial and Selective Insurance positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if AmTrust Financial position performs unexpectedly, Selective Insurance can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Selective Insurance will offset losses from the drop in Selective Insurance's long position.
The idea behind AmTrust Financial Services and Selective Insurance Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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