Correlation Between AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between AmTrust Financial Services and Global Indemnity PLC, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in AmTrust Financial with a short position of Global Indemnity. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity.

Diversification Opportunities for AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity

0.27
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between AmTrust and Global is 0.27. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding AmTrust Financial Services and Global Indemnity PLC in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Global Indemnity PLC and AmTrust Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on AmTrust Financial Services are associated (or correlated) with Global Indemnity. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Global Indemnity PLC has no effect on the direction of AmTrust Financial i.e., AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity

Assuming the 90 days horizon AmTrust Financial is expected to generate 31.95 times less return on investment than Global Indemnity. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, AmTrust Financial Services is 39.95 times less risky than Global Indemnity. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Global Indemnity PLC is currently generating about 0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,323  in Global Indemnity PLC on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  77.00  from holding Global Indemnity PLC or generate 2.32% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

AmTrust Financial Services  vs.  Global Indemnity PLC

 Performance 
       Timeline  
AmTrust Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AmTrust Financial Services are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong forward indicators, AmTrust Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Global Indemnity PLC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Global Indemnity PLC are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly inconsistent essential indicators, Global Indemnity demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity

The main advantage of trading using opposite AmTrust Financial and Global Indemnity positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if AmTrust Financial position performs unexpectedly, Global Indemnity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Global Indemnity will offset losses from the drop in Global Indemnity's long position.
The idea behind AmTrust Financial Services and Global Indemnity PLC pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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