Correlation Between Astellas Pharma and Novartis

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Astellas Pharma and Novartis at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Astellas Pharma and Novartis into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Astellas Pharma and Novartis AG, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Astellas Pharma and Novartis and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Astellas Pharma with a short position of Novartis. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Astellas Pharma and Novartis.

Diversification Opportunities for Astellas Pharma and Novartis

0.62
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Astellas and Novartis is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Astellas Pharma and Novartis AG in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Novartis AG and Astellas Pharma is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Astellas Pharma are associated (or correlated) with Novartis. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Novartis AG has no effect on the direction of Astellas Pharma i.e., Astellas Pharma and Novartis go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Astellas Pharma and Novartis

Assuming the 90 days horizon Astellas Pharma is expected to under-perform the Novartis. In addition to that, Astellas Pharma is 1.66 times more volatile than Novartis AG. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Novartis AG is currently generating about 0.02 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  9,795  in Novartis AG on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  605.00  from holding Novartis AG or generate 6.18% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.3%
ValuesDaily Returns

Astellas Pharma  vs.  Novartis AG

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Astellas Pharma 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
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Over the last 90 days Astellas Pharma has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Novartis AG 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Novartis AG has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Astellas Pharma and Novartis Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Astellas Pharma and Novartis

The main advantage of trading using opposite Astellas Pharma and Novartis positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Astellas Pharma position performs unexpectedly, Novartis can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Novartis will offset losses from the drop in Novartis' long position.
The idea behind Astellas Pharma and Novartis AG pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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