Correlation Between Small Cap and Ultra Fund

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Small Cap and Ultra Fund at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Small Cap and Ultra Fund into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Small Cap Growth and Ultra Fund I, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Small Cap and Ultra Fund and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Small Cap with a short position of Ultra Fund. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Small Cap and Ultra Fund.

Diversification Opportunities for Small Cap and Ultra Fund

0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Small and Ultra is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Small Cap Growth and Ultra Fund I in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultra Fund I and Small Cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Small Cap Growth are associated (or correlated) with Ultra Fund. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultra Fund I has no effect on the direction of Small Cap i.e., Small Cap and Ultra Fund go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Small Cap and Ultra Fund

Assuming the 90 days horizon Small Cap is expected to generate 1.61 times less return on investment than Ultra Fund. In addition to that, Small Cap is 1.02 times more volatile than Ultra Fund I. It trades about 0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Ultra Fund I is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  5,839  in Ultra Fund I on September 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,488  from holding Ultra Fund I or generate 76.86% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Small Cap Growth  vs.  Ultra Fund I

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Small Cap Growth 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Small Cap Growth are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Small Cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Ultra Fund I 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Fund I are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Ultra Fund may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Small Cap and Ultra Fund Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Small Cap and Ultra Fund

The main advantage of trading using opposite Small Cap and Ultra Fund positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Small Cap position performs unexpectedly, Ultra Fund can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultra Fund will offset losses from the drop in Ultra Fund's long position.
The idea behind Small Cap Growth and Ultra Fund I pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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