Correlation Between ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ARMOUR Residential REIT and Invesco Mortgage Capital, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ARMOUR Residential with a short position of Invesco Mortgage. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage.

Diversification Opportunities for ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ARMOUR and Invesco is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ARMOUR Residential REIT and Invesco Mortgage Capital in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Invesco Mortgage Capital and ARMOUR Residential is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ARMOUR Residential REIT are associated (or correlated) with Invesco Mortgage. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Invesco Mortgage Capital has no effect on the direction of ARMOUR Residential i.e., ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ARMOUR Residential is expected to generate 2.06 times less return on investment than Invesco Mortgage. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, ARMOUR Residential REIT is 1.76 times less risky than Invesco Mortgage. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Invesco Mortgage Capital is currently generating about 0.3 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  813.00  in Invesco Mortgage Capital on November 18, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  69.00  from holding Invesco Mortgage Capital or generate 8.49% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ARMOUR Residential REIT  vs.  Invesco Mortgage Capital

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ARMOUR Residential REIT 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ARMOUR Residential REIT are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively unsteady basic indicators, ARMOUR Residential may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.
Invesco Mortgage Capital 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco Mortgage Capital are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Invesco Mortgage reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage

The main advantage of trading using opposite ARMOUR Residential and Invesco Mortgage positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ARMOUR Residential position performs unexpectedly, Invesco Mortgage can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Invesco Mortgage will offset losses from the drop in Invesco Mortgage's long position.
The idea behind ARMOUR Residential REIT and Invesco Mortgage Capital pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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