Correlation Between Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Astra Otoparts Tbk and Polychem Indonesia Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Astra Otoparts with a short position of Polychem Indonesia. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia.

Diversification Opportunities for Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Astra and Polychem is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Astra Otoparts Tbk and Polychem Indonesia Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Polychem Indonesia Tbk and Astra Otoparts is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Astra Otoparts Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Polychem Indonesia. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Polychem Indonesia Tbk has no effect on the direction of Astra Otoparts i.e., Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Astra Otoparts Tbk is expected to generate 1.04 times more return on investment than Polychem Indonesia. However, Astra Otoparts is 1.04 times more volatile than Polychem Indonesia Tbk. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Polychem Indonesia Tbk is currently generating about -0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  152,968  in Astra Otoparts Tbk on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  52,032  from holding Astra Otoparts Tbk or generate 34.01% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy99.79%
ValuesDaily Returns

Astra Otoparts Tbk  vs.  Polychem Indonesia Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Astra Otoparts Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Astra Otoparts Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Polychem Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Polychem Indonesia Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia

The main advantage of trading using opposite Astra Otoparts and Polychem Indonesia positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Astra Otoparts position performs unexpectedly, Polychem Indonesia can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Polychem Indonesia will offset losses from the drop in Polychem Indonesia's long position.
The idea behind Astra Otoparts Tbk and Polychem Indonesia Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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