Correlation Between Business First and Home Federal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Business First and Home Federal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Business First and Home Federal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Business First Bancshares and Home Federal Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Business First and Home Federal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Business First with a short position of Home Federal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Business First and Home Federal.

Diversification Opportunities for Business First and Home Federal

0.01
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Business and Home is 0.01. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Business First Bancshares and Home Federal Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Home Federal Bancorp and Business First is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Business First Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Home Federal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Home Federal Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Business First i.e., Business First and Home Federal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Business First and Home Federal

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Business First Bancshares is expected to generate 1.39 times more return on investment than Home Federal. However, Business First is 1.39 times more volatile than Home Federal Bancorp. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,641  in Business First Bancshares on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  243.00  from holding Business First Bancshares or generate 9.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy90.91%
ValuesDaily Returns

Business First Bancshares  vs.  Home Federal Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Business First Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Business First Bancshares are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Business First unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental drivers, Home Federal disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Business First and Home Federal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Business First and Home Federal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Business First and Home Federal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Business First position performs unexpectedly, Home Federal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Home Federal will offset losses from the drop in Home Federal's long position.
The idea behind Business First Bancshares and Home Federal Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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