Correlation Between Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ishares Municipal Bond and Inverse Government Long, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ishares Municipal with a short position of Inverse Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government

-0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ishares and Inverse is -0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ishares Municipal Bond and Inverse Government Long in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Inverse Government Long and Ishares Municipal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ishares Municipal Bond are associated (or correlated) with Inverse Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Inverse Government Long has no effect on the direction of Ishares Municipal i.e., Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ishares Municipal Bond is expected to under-perform the Inverse Government. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ishares Municipal Bond is 2.11 times less risky than Inverse Government. The mutual fund trades about -0.25 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Inverse Government Long is currently generating about 0.66 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  17,443  in Inverse Government Long on October 11, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,514  from holding Inverse Government Long or generate 8.68% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ishares Municipal Bond  vs.  Inverse Government Long

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ishares Municipal Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ishares Municipal Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Ishares Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Inverse Government Long 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Inverse Government Long are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Inverse Government may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ishares Municipal and Inverse Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ishares Municipal position performs unexpectedly, Inverse Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Inverse Government will offset losses from the drop in Inverse Government's long position.
The idea behind Ishares Municipal Bond and Inverse Government Long pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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