Correlation Between Big Lots and PriceSmart

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Big Lots and PriceSmart at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Big Lots and PriceSmart into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Big Lots and PriceSmart, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Big Lots and PriceSmart and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Big Lots with a short position of PriceSmart. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Big Lots and PriceSmart.

Diversification Opportunities for Big Lots and PriceSmart

-0.15
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Big and PriceSmart is -0.15. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Big Lots and PriceSmart in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PriceSmart and Big Lots is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Big Lots are associated (or correlated) with PriceSmart. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PriceSmart has no effect on the direction of Big Lots i.e., Big Lots and PriceSmart go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Big Lots and PriceSmart

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Big Lots is expected to under-perform the PriceSmart. In addition to that, Big Lots is 4.84 times more volatile than PriceSmart. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. PriceSmart is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  6,071  in PriceSmart on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,903  from holding PriceSmart or generate 47.82% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy89.75%
ValuesDaily Returns

Big Lots  vs.  PriceSmart

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Big Lots 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Big Lots has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite sluggish performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
PriceSmart 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PriceSmart are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively stable primary indicators, PriceSmart is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

Big Lots and PriceSmart Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Big Lots and PriceSmart

The main advantage of trading using opposite Big Lots and PriceSmart positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Big Lots position performs unexpectedly, PriceSmart can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PriceSmart will offset losses from the drop in PriceSmart's long position.
The idea behind Big Lots and PriceSmart pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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