Correlation Between Volatility Shares and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Volatility Shares and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Volatility Shares and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Volatility Shares Trust and First Trust Nasdaq, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Volatility Shares and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Volatility Shares with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Volatility Shares and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for Volatility Shares and First Trust

0.67
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Volatility and First is 0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Volatility Shares Trust and First Trust Nasdaq in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust Nasdaq and Volatility Shares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Volatility Shares Trust are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust Nasdaq has no effect on the direction of Volatility Shares i.e., Volatility Shares and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Volatility Shares and First Trust

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Volatility Shares Trust is expected to generate 5.85 times more return on investment than First Trust. However, Volatility Shares is 5.85 times more volatile than First Trust Nasdaq. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust Nasdaq is currently generating about 0.1 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,387  in Volatility Shares Trust on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,048  from holding Volatility Shares Trust or generate 169.59% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Volatility Shares Trust  vs.  First Trust Nasdaq

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Volatility Shares Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

20 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Volatility Shares Trust are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Volatility Shares showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Trust Nasdaq 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Nasdaq are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent forward-looking signals, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Volatility Shares and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Volatility Shares and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite Volatility Shares and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Volatility Shares position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind Volatility Shares Trust and First Trust Nasdaq pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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