Correlation Between Volatility Shares and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Volatility Shares and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Volatility Shares and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Volatility Shares Trust and First Trust TCW, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Volatility Shares and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Volatility Shares with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Volatility Shares and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for Volatility Shares and First Trust

-0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Volatility and First is -0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Volatility Shares Trust and First Trust TCW in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust TCW and Volatility Shares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Volatility Shares Trust are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust TCW has no effect on the direction of Volatility Shares i.e., Volatility Shares and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Volatility Shares and First Trust

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Volatility Shares Trust is expected to generate 22.84 times more return on investment than First Trust. However, Volatility Shares is 22.84 times more volatile than First Trust TCW. It trades about 0.46 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust TCW is currently generating about -0.17 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,002  in Volatility Shares Trust on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,285  from holding Volatility Shares Trust or generate 109.43% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Volatility Shares Trust  vs.  First Trust TCW

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Volatility Shares Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Volatility Shares Trust are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Volatility Shares showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Trust TCW 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Trust TCW has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Volatility Shares and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Volatility Shares and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite Volatility Shares and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Volatility Shares position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind Volatility Shares Trust and First Trust TCW pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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