Correlation Between Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Grayscale Bitcoin Mini and US Treasury 3, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Grayscale Bitcoin with a short position of US Treasury. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury.

Diversification Opportunities for Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury

-0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Grayscale and UTRE is -0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Grayscale Bitcoin Mini and US Treasury 3 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Treasury 3 and Grayscale Bitcoin is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Grayscale Bitcoin Mini are associated (or correlated) with US Treasury. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Treasury 3 has no effect on the direction of Grayscale Bitcoin i.e., Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Grayscale Bitcoin Mini is expected to under-perform the US Treasury. In addition to that, Grayscale Bitcoin is 27.96 times more volatile than US Treasury 3. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. US Treasury 3 is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,731  in US Treasury 3 on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  192.00  from holding US Treasury 3 or generate 4.06% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini  vs.  US Treasury 3

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

20 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather inconsistent basic indicators, Grayscale Bitcoin exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
US Treasury 3 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days US Treasury 3 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury

The main advantage of trading using opposite Grayscale Bitcoin and US Treasury positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Grayscale Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, US Treasury can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Treasury will offset losses from the drop in US Treasury's long position.
The idea behind Grayscale Bitcoin Mini and US Treasury 3 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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