Correlation Between Cincinnati Financial and Penn National

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cincinnati Financial and Penn National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cincinnati Financial and Penn National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cincinnati Financial Corp and Penn National Gaming, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cincinnati Financial and Penn National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cincinnati Financial with a short position of Penn National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cincinnati Financial and Penn National.

Diversification Opportunities for Cincinnati Financial and Penn National

0.58
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cincinnati and Penn is 0.58. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cincinnati Financial Corp and Penn National Gaming in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Penn National Gaming and Cincinnati Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cincinnati Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Penn National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Penn National Gaming has no effect on the direction of Cincinnati Financial i.e., Cincinnati Financial and Penn National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cincinnati Financial and Penn National

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cincinnati Financial is expected to generate 2.22 times less return on investment than Penn National. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Cincinnati Financial Corp is 1.84 times less risky than Penn National. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Penn National Gaming is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,663  in Penn National Gaming on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  322.00  from holding Penn National Gaming or generate 19.36% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cincinnati Financial Corp  vs.  Penn National Gaming

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cincinnati Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cincinnati Financial Corp are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.
Penn National Gaming 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Penn National Gaming are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Penn National reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Cincinnati Financial and Penn National Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cincinnati Financial and Penn National

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cincinnati Financial and Penn National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cincinnati Financial position performs unexpectedly, Penn National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Penn National will offset losses from the drop in Penn National's long position.
The idea behind Cincinnati Financial Corp and Penn National Gaming pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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