Correlation Between Us Government and Dow Jones

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Us Government and Dow Jones at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Us Government and Dow Jones into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Us Government Securities and Dow Jones Industrial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Us Government and Dow Jones and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Us Government with a short position of Dow Jones. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Us Government and Dow Jones.

Diversification Opportunities for Us Government and Dow Jones

-0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between CGTAX and Dow is -0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Us Government Securities and Dow Jones Industrial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Dow Jones Industrial and Us Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Us Government Securities are associated (or correlated) with Dow Jones. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Dow Jones Industrial has no effect on the direction of Us Government i.e., Us Government and Dow Jones go up and down completely randomly.
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Pair Corralation between Us Government and Dow Jones

Assuming the 90 days horizon Us Government Securities is expected to under-perform the Dow Jones. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Us Government Securities is 2.61 times less risky than Dow Jones. The mutual fund trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating about 0.17 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,133,505  in Dow Jones Industrial on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  352,526  from holding Dow Jones Industrial or generate 8.53% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Us Government Securities  vs.  Dow Jones Industrial

 Performance 
       Timeline  

Us Government and Dow Jones Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Us Government and Dow Jones

The main advantage of trading using opposite Us Government and Dow Jones positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Us Government position performs unexpectedly, Dow Jones can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dow Jones will offset losses from the drop in Dow Jones' long position.
The idea behind Us Government Securities and Dow Jones Industrial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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