Correlation Between Crude Oil and E Mini

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Crude Oil and E Mini at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Crude Oil and E Mini into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Crude Oil and E Mini SP 500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Crude Oil and E Mini and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Crude Oil with a short position of E Mini. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Crude Oil and E Mini.

Diversification Opportunities for Crude Oil and E Mini

-0.06
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Crude and ESUSD is -0.06. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Crude Oil and E Mini SP 500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on E Mini SP and Crude Oil is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Crude Oil are associated (or correlated) with E Mini. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of E Mini SP has no effect on the direction of Crude Oil i.e., Crude Oil and E Mini go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Crude Oil and E Mini

Assuming the 90 days horizon Crude Oil is expected to under-perform the E Mini. In addition to that, Crude Oil is 2.45 times more volatile than E Mini SP 500. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. E Mini SP 500 is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  453,775  in E Mini SP 500 on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  147,725  from holding E Mini SP 500 or generate 32.55% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy98.82%
ValuesDaily Returns

Crude Oil  vs.  E Mini SP 500

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Crude Oil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Crude Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Commodity's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for Crude Oil shareholders.
E Mini SP 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in E Mini SP 500 are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, E Mini may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Crude Oil and E Mini Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Crude Oil and E Mini

The main advantage of trading using opposite Crude Oil and E Mini positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Crude Oil position performs unexpectedly, E Mini can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in E Mini will offset losses from the drop in E Mini's long position.
The idea behind Crude Oil and E Mini SP 500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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