Correlation Between Caseys General and PENN NATL

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Caseys General and PENN NATL at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Caseys General and PENN NATL into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Caseys General Stores and PENN NATL GAMING, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Caseys General and PENN NATL and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Caseys General with a short position of PENN NATL. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Caseys General and PENN NATL.

Diversification Opportunities for Caseys General and PENN NATL

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Caseys and PENN is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Caseys General Stores and PENN NATL GAMING in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PENN NATL GAMING and Caseys General is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Caseys General Stores are associated (or correlated) with PENN NATL. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PENN NATL GAMING has no effect on the direction of Caseys General i.e., Caseys General and PENN NATL go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Caseys General and PENN NATL

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Caseys General Stores is expected to under-perform the PENN NATL. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Caseys General Stores is 2.91 times less risky than PENN NATL. The stock trades about -0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The PENN NATL GAMING is currently generating about -0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,872  in PENN NATL GAMING on October 11, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (46.00) from holding PENN NATL GAMING or give up 2.46% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Caseys General Stores  vs.  PENN NATL GAMING

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Caseys General Stores 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Caseys General Stores are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, Caseys General may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.
PENN NATL GAMING 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in PENN NATL GAMING are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, PENN NATL may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Caseys General and PENN NATL Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Caseys General and PENN NATL

The main advantage of trading using opposite Caseys General and PENN NATL positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Caseys General position performs unexpectedly, PENN NATL can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PENN NATL will offset losses from the drop in PENN NATL's long position.
The idea behind Caseys General Stores and PENN NATL GAMING pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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