Correlation Between Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and Arch Therapeutics, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of Arch Therapeutics. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics

0.72
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and Arch is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and Arch Therapeutics in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Arch Therapeutics and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Arch Therapeutics. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Arch Therapeutics has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol SA ADR is expected to generate 0.19 times more return on investment than Arch Therapeutics. However, Ecopetrol SA ADR is 5.36 times less risky than Arch Therapeutics. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Arch Therapeutics is currently generating about -0.18 per unit of risk. If you would invest  761.00  in Ecopetrol SA ADR on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  42.00  from holding Ecopetrol SA ADR or generate 5.52% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  Arch Therapeutics

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ecopetrol SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
Arch Therapeutics 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Arch Therapeutics are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, Arch Therapeutics demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and Arch Therapeutics positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, Arch Therapeutics can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Arch Therapeutics will offset losses from the drop in Arch Therapeutics' long position.
The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and Arch Therapeutics pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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