Correlation Between Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and Heartland Banccorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of Heartland Banccorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp

-0.67
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and Heartland is -0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and Heartland Banccorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heartland Banccorp and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with Heartland Banccorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heartland Banccorp has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol SA ADR is expected to under-perform the Heartland Banccorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ecopetrol SA ADR is 2.35 times less risky than Heartland Banccorp. The stock trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Heartland Banccorp is currently generating about 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  8,191  in Heartland Banccorp on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  8,389  from holding Heartland Banccorp or generate 102.42% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy88.26%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  Heartland Banccorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ecopetrol SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
Heartland Banccorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heartland Banccorp are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Heartland Banccorp displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and Heartland Banccorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, Heartland Banccorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heartland Banccorp will offset losses from the drop in Heartland Banccorp's long position.
The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and Heartland Banccorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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