Correlation Between ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro SA, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ECB Bancorp with a short position of Banco Macro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro.

Diversification Opportunities for ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro

0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ECB and Banco is 0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro SA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Banco Macro SA and ECB Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ECB Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Banco Macro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Banco Macro SA has no effect on the direction of ECB Bancorp i.e., ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ECB Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Banco Macro. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ECB Bancorp is 2.44 times less risky than Banco Macro. The stock trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Banco Macro SA is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,911  in Banco Macro SA on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  165.00  from holding Banco Macro SA or generate 2.09% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ECB Bancorp  vs.  Banco Macro SA

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ECB Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ECB Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady fundamental drivers, ECB Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Banco Macro SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Banco Macro SA are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat abnormal primary indicators, Banco Macro sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro

The main advantage of trading using opposite ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ECB Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Banco Macro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Banco Macro will offset losses from the drop in Banco Macro's long position.
The idea behind ECB Bancorp and Banco Macro SA pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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