Correlation Between ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraShort MSCI and ProShares Ultra MSCI, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraShort with a short position of ProShares Ultra. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra

-0.27
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and ProShares is -0.27. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraShort MSCI and ProShares Ultra MSCI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares Ultra MSCI and ProShares UltraShort is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraShort MSCI are associated (or correlated) with ProShares Ultra. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares Ultra MSCI has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraShort i.e., ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort MSCI is expected to generate 0.6 times more return on investment than ProShares Ultra. However, ProShares UltraShort MSCI is 1.68 times less risky than ProShares Ultra. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares Ultra MSCI is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,607  in ProShares UltraShort MSCI on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  20.50  from holding ProShares UltraShort MSCI or generate 1.28% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares UltraShort MSCI  vs.  ProShares Ultra MSCI

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares UltraShort MSCI 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort MSCI has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable technical and fundamental indicators, ProShares UltraShort is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.
ProShares Ultra MSCI 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra MSCI has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's fundamental drivers remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the ETF retail investors.

ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraShort and ProShares Ultra positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraShort position performs unexpectedly, ProShares Ultra can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Ultra will offset losses from the drop in ProShares Ultra's long position.
The idea behind ProShares UltraShort MSCI and ProShares Ultra MSCI pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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