Correlation Between Eni SpA and Ecopetrol

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Eni SpA and Ecopetrol at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Eni SpA and Ecopetrol into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Eni SpA and Ecopetrol SA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Eni SpA and Ecopetrol and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Eni SpA with a short position of Ecopetrol. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Eni SpA and Ecopetrol.

Diversification Opportunities for Eni SpA and Ecopetrol

-0.14
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Eni and Ecopetrol is -0.14. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Eni SpA and Ecopetrol SA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR and Eni SpA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Eni SpA are associated (or correlated) with Ecopetrol. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ecopetrol SA ADR has no effect on the direction of Eni SpA i.e., Eni SpA and Ecopetrol go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Eni SpA and Ecopetrol

Assuming the 90 days horizon Eni SpA is expected to under-perform the Ecopetrol. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Eni SpA is 1.09 times less risky than Ecopetrol. The pink sheet trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ecopetrol SA ADR is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  805.00  in Ecopetrol SA ADR on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5.00  from holding Ecopetrol SA ADR or generate 0.62% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy76.19%
ValuesDaily Returns

Eni SpA  vs.  Ecopetrol SA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Eni SpA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Eni SpA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Eni SpA is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
Ecopetrol SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

Eni SpA and Ecopetrol Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Eni SpA and Ecopetrol

The main advantage of trading using opposite Eni SpA and Ecopetrol positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Eni SpA position performs unexpectedly, Ecopetrol can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ecopetrol will offset losses from the drop in Ecopetrol's long position.
The idea behind Eni SpA and Ecopetrol SA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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