Correlation Between E Mini and Five Year

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both E Mini and Five Year at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining E Mini and Five Year into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between E Mini SP 500 and Five Year Treasury Note, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on E Mini and Five Year and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in E Mini with a short position of Five Year. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of E Mini and Five Year.

Diversification Opportunities for E Mini and Five Year

-0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between ESUSD and Five is -0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding E Mini SP 500 and Five Year Treasury Note in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Five Year Treasury and E Mini is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on E Mini SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with Five Year. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Five Year Treasury has no effect on the direction of E Mini i.e., E Mini and Five Year go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between E Mini and Five Year

Assuming the 90 days horizon E Mini SP 500 is expected to generate 2.78 times more return on investment than Five Year. However, E Mini is 2.78 times more volatile than Five Year Treasury Note. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Five Year Treasury Note is currently generating about 0.0 per unit of risk. If you would invest  429,825  in E Mini SP 500 on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  175,325  from holding E Mini SP 500 or generate 40.79% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy99.74%
ValuesDaily Returns

E Mini SP 500  vs.  Five Year Treasury Note

 Performance 
       Timeline  
E Mini SP 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in E Mini SP 500 are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, E Mini may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Five Year Treasury 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Five Year Treasury Note has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Five Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

E Mini and Five Year Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with E Mini and Five Year

The main advantage of trading using opposite E Mini and Five Year positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if E Mini position performs unexpectedly, Five Year can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Five Year will offset losses from the drop in Five Year's long position.
The idea behind E Mini SP 500 and Five Year Treasury Note pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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