Correlation Between ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares Trust, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Trust with a short position of Volatility Shares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares

-0.95
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Volatility is -0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares Trust in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Volatility Shares Trust and ProShares Trust is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Trust are associated (or correlated) with Volatility Shares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Volatility Shares Trust has no effect on the direction of ProShares Trust i.e., ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares Trust is expected to under-perform the Volatility Shares. In addition to that, ProShares Trust is 1.23 times more volatile than Volatility Shares Trust. It trades about -0.2 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Volatility Shares Trust is currently generating about 0.28 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,770  in Volatility Shares Trust on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,194  from holding Volatility Shares Trust or generate 115.31% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Trust  vs.  Volatility Shares Trust

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Etf's technical indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.
Volatility Shares Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Volatility Shares Trust are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly inconsistent basic indicators, Volatility Shares showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Trust position performs unexpectedly, Volatility Shares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Volatility Shares will offset losses from the drop in Volatility Shares' long position.
The idea behind ProShares Trust and Volatility Shares Trust pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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