Correlation Between Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Emerging Europe Fund and Emerging Markets Portfolio, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Emerging Europe with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets

-0.18
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Emerging and Emerging is -0.18. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Emerging Europe Fund and Emerging Markets Portfolio in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets Por and Emerging Europe is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Emerging Europe Fund are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets Por has no effect on the direction of Emerging Europe i.e., Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerging Europe Fund is expected to generate 1.24 times more return on investment than Emerging Markets. However, Emerging Europe is 1.24 times more volatile than Emerging Markets Portfolio. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Portfolio is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  355.00  in Emerging Europe Fund on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  50.00  from holding Emerging Europe Fund or generate 14.08% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy31.31%
ValuesDaily Returns

Emerging Europe Fund  vs.  Emerging Markets Portfolio

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Emerging Europe 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
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Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Emerging Europe Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Emerging Europe is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Emerging Markets Por 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Emerging Markets Portfolio has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Emerging Europe and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Emerging Europe position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.
The idea behind Emerging Europe Fund and Emerging Markets Portfolio pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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