Correlation Between Ford and Timberland Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ford and Timberland Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ford and Timberland Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ford Motor and Timberland Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ford and Timberland Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ford with a short position of Timberland Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ford and Timberland Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Ford and Timberland Bancorp

0.72
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ford and Timberland is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ford Motor and Timberland Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Timberland Bancorp and Ford is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ford Motor are associated (or correlated) with Timberland Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Timberland Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Ford i.e., Ford and Timberland Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ford and Timberland Bancorp

Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon Ford Motor is expected to under-perform the Timberland Bancorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Ford Motor is 1.02 times less risky than Timberland Bancorp. The stock trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Timberland Bancorp is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,517  in Timberland Bancorp on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  722.00  from holding Timberland Bancorp or generate 28.68% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ford Motor  vs.  Timberland Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ford Motor 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ford Motor are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Ford is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
Timberland Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timberland Bancorp are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite abnormal fundamental drivers, Timberland Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Ford and Timberland Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ford and Timberland Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ford and Timberland Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ford position performs unexpectedly, Timberland Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Timberland Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Timberland Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Ford Motor and Timberland Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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