Correlation Between Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Direxion Shares ETF and Vanguard Index Funds, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Direxion Shares with a short position of Vanguard Index. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index.

Diversification Opportunities for Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index

-0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Direxion and Vanguard is -0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Direxion Shares ETF and Vanguard Index Funds in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Index Funds and Direxion Shares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Direxion Shares ETF are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Index. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Index Funds has no effect on the direction of Direxion Shares i.e., Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Direxion Shares ETF is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Index. In addition to that, Direxion Shares is 3.23 times more volatile than Vanguard Index Funds. It trades about -0.35 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Index Funds is currently generating about 0.26 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,054,002  in Vanguard Index Funds on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  75,162  from holding Vanguard Index Funds or generate 7.13% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Direxion Shares ETF  vs.  Vanguard Index Funds

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Direxion Shares ETF 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Direxion Shares ETF has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors.
Vanguard Index Funds 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Index Funds are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Vanguard Index may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index

The main advantage of trading using opposite Direxion Shares and Vanguard Index positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Direxion Shares position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Index can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Index will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Index's long position.
The idea behind Direxion Shares ETF and Vanguard Index Funds pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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