Correlation Between First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Citizens BancShares and Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Citizens with a short position of Merchants Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp

0.84
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Merchants is 0.84. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Citizens BancShares and Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merchants Bancorp and First Citizens is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Citizens BancShares are associated (or correlated) with Merchants Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Citizens i.e., First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp

Assuming the 90 days horizon First Citizens BancShares is expected to generate 1.02 times more return on investment than Merchants Bancorp. However, First Citizens is 1.02 times more volatile than Merchants Bancorp. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,359  in First Citizens BancShares on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (13.00) from holding First Citizens BancShares or give up 0.55% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Citizens BancShares  vs.  Merchants Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Citizens BancShares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Citizens BancShares are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable fundamental indicators, First Citizens is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
Merchants Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent basic indicators, Merchants Bancorp may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Citizens and Merchants Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Citizens position performs unexpectedly, Merchants Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in Merchants Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind First Citizens BancShares and Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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