Correlation Between First Trust and Timothy Plan

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Trust and Timothy Plan at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Trust and Timothy Plan into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Trust Large and Timothy Plan Small, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Trust and Timothy Plan and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Trust with a short position of Timothy Plan. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Trust and Timothy Plan.

Diversification Opportunities for First Trust and Timothy Plan

0.95
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Timothy is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Trust Large and Timothy Plan Small in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Timothy Plan Small and First Trust is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Trust Large are associated (or correlated) with Timothy Plan. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Timothy Plan Small has no effect on the direction of First Trust i.e., First Trust and Timothy Plan go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Trust and Timothy Plan

Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 1.38 times less return on investment than Timothy Plan. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Trust Large is 1.79 times less risky than Timothy Plan. It trades about 0.33 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Timothy Plan Small is currently generating about 0.25 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,885  in Timothy Plan Small on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  342.00  from holding Timothy Plan Small or generate 8.8% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Trust Large  vs.  Timothy Plan Small

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Trust Large 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Large are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Timothy Plan Small 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Timothy Plan Small are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Timothy Plan may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

First Trust and Timothy Plan Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Trust and Timothy Plan

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Trust and Timothy Plan positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Trust position performs unexpectedly, Timothy Plan can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Timothy Plan will offset losses from the drop in Timothy Plan's long position.
The idea behind First Trust Large and Timothy Plan Small pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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