Correlation Between First Financial and Orange County

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Financial and Orange County at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Financial and Orange County into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Financial Northwest and Orange County Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Financial and Orange County and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Financial with a short position of Orange County. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Financial and Orange County.

Diversification Opportunities for First Financial and Orange County

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Orange is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Financial Northwest and Orange County Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orange County Bancorp and First Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Financial Northwest are associated (or correlated) with Orange County. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orange County Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Financial i.e., First Financial and Orange County go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Financial and Orange County

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Financial Northwest is expected to generate 0.58 times more return on investment than Orange County. However, First Financial Northwest is 1.72 times less risky than Orange County. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Orange County Bancorp is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,105  in First Financial Northwest on November 8, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  50.00  from holding First Financial Northwest or generate 2.38% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Financial Northwest  vs.  Orange County Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Financial Northwest 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Financial Northwest has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, First Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.
Orange County Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Orange County Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

First Financial and Orange County Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Financial and Orange County

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Financial and Orange County positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Financial position performs unexpectedly, Orange County can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orange County will offset losses from the drop in Orange County's long position.
The idea behind First Financial Northwest and Orange County Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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