Correlation Between First Guaranty and Auburn National

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Guaranty and Auburn National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Guaranty and Auburn National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Guaranty Bancshares and Auburn National Bancorporation, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Guaranty and Auburn National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Guaranty with a short position of Auburn National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Guaranty and Auburn National.

Diversification Opportunities for First Guaranty and Auburn National

0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Auburn is 0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Guaranty Bancshares and Auburn National Bancorp. in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Auburn National Banc and First Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Guaranty Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Auburn National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Auburn National Banc has no effect on the direction of First Guaranty i.e., First Guaranty and Auburn National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Guaranty and Auburn National

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares is expected to generate 1.29 times more return on investment than Auburn National. However, First Guaranty is 1.29 times more volatile than Auburn National Bancorporation. It trades about 0.66 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Auburn National Bancorporation is currently generating about 0.18 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,012  in First Guaranty Bancshares on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  328.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 32.41% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Guaranty Bancshares  vs.  Auburn National Bancorp.

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak fundamental drivers, First Guaranty demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Auburn National Banc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Auburn National Bancorporation are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting fundamental drivers, Auburn National displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Guaranty and Auburn National Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Guaranty and Auburn National

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Guaranty and Auburn National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, Auburn National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Auburn National will offset losses from the drop in Auburn National's long position.
The idea behind First Guaranty Bancshares and Auburn National Bancorporation pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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