Correlation Between First Guaranty and Texas Capital

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Guaranty and Texas Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Guaranty and Texas Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Guaranty Bancshares and Texas Capital Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Guaranty and Texas Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Guaranty with a short position of Texas Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Guaranty and Texas Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for First Guaranty and Texas Capital

0.54
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Texas is 0.54. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Guaranty Bancshares and Texas Capital Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Texas Capital Bancshares and First Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Guaranty Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Texas Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Texas Capital Bancshares has no effect on the direction of First Guaranty i.e., First Guaranty and Texas Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Guaranty and Texas Capital

Assuming the 90 days horizon First Guaranty Bancshares is expected to generate 0.81 times more return on investment than Texas Capital. However, First Guaranty Bancshares is 1.23 times less risky than Texas Capital. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Texas Capital Bancshares is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,143  in First Guaranty Bancshares on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  27.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 1.26% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Guaranty Bancshares  vs.  Texas Capital Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively inconsistent forward indicators, First Guaranty may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Texas Capital Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Texas Capital Bancshares are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy forward indicators, Texas Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Guaranty and Texas Capital Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Guaranty and Texas Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Guaranty and Texas Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, Texas Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Texas Capital will offset losses from the drop in Texas Capital's long position.
The idea behind First Guaranty Bancshares and Texas Capital Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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