Correlation Between Farmers and First National

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Farmers and First National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Farmers and First National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Farmers And Merchants and First National Bank, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Farmers and First National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Farmers with a short position of First National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Farmers and First National.

Diversification Opportunities for Farmers and First National

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Farmers and First is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Farmers And Merchants and First National Bank in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First National Bank and Farmers is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Farmers And Merchants are associated (or correlated) with First National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First National Bank has no effect on the direction of Farmers i.e., Farmers and First National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Farmers and First National

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers And Merchants is expected to under-perform the First National. But the otc stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Farmers And Merchants is 1.11 times less risky than First National. The otc stock trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First National Bank is currently generating about 0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  21,338  in First National Bank on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,462  from holding First National Bank or generate 11.54% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy99.19%
ValuesDaily Returns

Farmers And Merchants  vs.  First National Bank

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Farmers And Merchants 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Farmers And Merchants are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting fundamental drivers, Farmers may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
First National Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First National Bank are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak basic indicators, First National disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Farmers and First National Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Farmers and First National

The main advantage of trading using opposite Farmers and First National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Farmers position performs unexpectedly, First National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First National will offset losses from the drop in First National's long position.
The idea behind Farmers And Merchants and First National Bank pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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