Correlation Between Forum Merger and Motive Capital

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Forum Merger and Motive Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Forum Merger and Motive Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Forum Merger IV and Motive Capital Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Forum Merger and Motive Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Forum Merger with a short position of Motive Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Forum Merger and Motive Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for Forum Merger and Motive Capital

0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Forum and Motive is 0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Forum Merger IV and Motive Capital Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Motive Capital Corp and Forum Merger is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Forum Merger IV are associated (or correlated) with Motive Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Motive Capital Corp has no effect on the direction of Forum Merger i.e., Forum Merger and Motive Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Forum Merger and Motive Capital

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Forum Merger IV is expected to generate 1.35 times more return on investment than Motive Capital. However, Forum Merger is 1.35 times more volatile than Motive Capital Corp. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Motive Capital Corp is currently generating about 0.19 per unit of risk. If you would invest  995.00  in Forum Merger IV on September 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  41.00  from holding Forum Merger IV or generate 4.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy84.81%
ValuesDaily Returns

Forum Merger IV  vs.  Motive Capital Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Forum Merger IV 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Forum Merger IV has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable forward indicators, Forum Merger is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.
Motive Capital Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Motive Capital Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Motive Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Forum Merger and Motive Capital Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Forum Merger and Motive Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite Forum Merger and Motive Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Forum Merger position performs unexpectedly, Motive Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Motive Capital will offset losses from the drop in Motive Capital's long position.
The idea behind Forum Merger IV and Motive Capital Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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