Correlation Between Golub Capital and Hercules Capital

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Golub Capital and Hercules Capital at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Golub Capital and Hercules Capital into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Golub Capital BDC and Hercules Capital, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Golub Capital and Hercules Capital and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Golub Capital with a short position of Hercules Capital. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Golub Capital and Hercules Capital.

Diversification Opportunities for Golub Capital and Hercules Capital

0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Golub and Hercules is 0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Golub Capital BDC and Hercules Capital in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Hercules Capital and Golub Capital is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Golub Capital BDC are associated (or correlated) with Hercules Capital. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Hercules Capital has no effect on the direction of Golub Capital i.e., Golub Capital and Hercules Capital go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Golub Capital and Hercules Capital

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Golub Capital BDC is expected to under-perform the Hercules Capital. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Golub Capital BDC is 1.82 times less risky than Hercules Capital. The stock trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Hercules Capital is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,861  in Hercules Capital on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (8.00) from holding Hercules Capital or give up 0.43% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Golub Capital BDC  vs.  Hercules Capital

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Golub Capital BDC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Golub Capital BDC are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Golub Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Hercules Capital 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Hercules Capital are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Hercules Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Golub Capital and Hercules Capital Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Golub Capital and Hercules Capital

The main advantage of trading using opposite Golub Capital and Hercules Capital positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Golub Capital position performs unexpectedly, Hercules Capital can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hercules Capital will offset losses from the drop in Hercules Capital's long position.
The idea behind Golub Capital BDC and Hercules Capital pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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