Correlation Between Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Gold Bullion Securities and iShares MSCI World, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Gold Bullion with a short position of IShares MSCI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI.

Diversification Opportunities for Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI

0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Gold and IShares is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Gold Bullion Securities and iShares MSCI World in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on iShares MSCI World and Gold Bullion is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Gold Bullion Securities are associated (or correlated) with IShares MSCI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of iShares MSCI World has no effect on the direction of Gold Bullion i.e., Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gold Bullion is expected to generate 1.05 times less return on investment than IShares MSCI. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Gold Bullion Securities is 1.04 times less risky than IShares MSCI. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. iShares MSCI World is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  500.00  in iShares MSCI World on September 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  80.00  from holding iShares MSCI World or generate 16.0% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy36.83%
ValuesDaily Returns

Gold Bullion Securities  vs.  iShares MSCI World

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Gold Bullion Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gold Bullion Securities are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Gold Bullion may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
iShares MSCI World 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in iShares MSCI World are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, IShares MSCI may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI

The main advantage of trading using opposite Gold Bullion and IShares MSCI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Gold Bullion position performs unexpectedly, IShares MSCI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IShares MSCI will offset losses from the drop in IShares MSCI's long position.
The idea behind Gold Bullion Securities and iShares MSCI World pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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