Correlation Between Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and ARK 21Shares Bitcoin, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Grayscale Bitcoin with a short position of ARK 21Shares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares.

Diversification Opportunities for Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares

GrayscaleARKGrayscaleARKDiversified Away100%
1.0
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Grayscale and ARK is 1.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and ARK 21Shares Bitcoin in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ARK 21Shares Bitcoin and Grayscale Bitcoin is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are associated (or correlated) with ARK 21Shares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ARK 21Shares Bitcoin has no effect on the direction of Grayscale Bitcoin i.e., Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is expected to under-perform the ARK 21Shares. In addition to that, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is as risky as ARK 21Shares. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. ARK 21Shares Bitcoin is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  9,559  in ARK 21Shares Bitcoin on December 9, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (870.00) from holding ARK 21Shares Bitcoin or give up 9.1% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust  vs.  ARK 21Shares Bitcoin

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb -10-50510
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GBTC ARKB
       Timeline  
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Etf's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the fund shareholders.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar6570758085
ARK 21Shares Bitcoin 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ARK 21Shares Bitcoin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest uncertain performance, the Etf's forward-looking signals remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the ETF investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar859095100105

Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-4.59-3.43-2.28-1.130.01831.12.23.34.4 0.0400.0420.0440.0460.0480.050
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GBTC ARKB
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Grayscale Bitcoin and ARK 21Shares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Grayscale Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, ARK 21Shares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ARK 21Shares will offset losses from the drop in ARK 21Shares' long position.
The idea behind Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and ARK 21Shares Bitcoin pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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